More rain to come. How much will we have?

After a northeast that drenched the region earlier this week, the Hudson Valley is forecasting more precipitation heading into the weekend. Parts of the region received 2-5 inches of rain on Monday and Tuesday, causing flooding, wind damage and power outages to many parts of the northeast. So, will this next storm be as bad as the last? Should we expect more flooding?

Friday should see partly cloudy skies early, but increasing cloudiness in the afternoon with a slight chance of showers late. The peaks will be in the upper 50s. Rain will then move overnight from the south as lows fall in the 1940s. Some of the precipitation could be heavy at times with gusty winds. But while we might see heavy rains and even flooding in some of the areas where the soil is already saturated, don’t expect this storm to be as severe as the last one for the Hudson Valley.

Saturday will see heavy rain showers in the morning, with the possibility of rain lingering until late afternoon. The maximums will be close to 60 under a cloudy sky. The minimums will be around 50 on Saturday night. Halloween Sunday is expected to be mostly cloudy, with highs near 60s and lows in the 40s. This will lead to cooler weather for next week as highs are expected to stay in the 50s and lows in the 40s. 30.

So how much rain? Some amounts could reach over half an inch in parts of the area. It’s not really much, although the soil is saturated. So you may need to watch out for minor flooding.

Some of the extended winter forecast so far is a bit contradictory. While some, like the Old Farmer’s Almanac, say we should expect near-normal temperatures and precipitation, other forecasts call for below-average temperatures and above-average snowfall. An important factor could be the return of La Niña. A La Niña is a phenomenon that produces colder-than-average water temperatures in the tropical Pacific Ocean around the equator. It should not be confused with El Niño, which is when the water temperatures are warmer in this part of the Pacific. Past La Niñas have produced colder and snowier winters in the northeast.

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