Heavy rains to start the week, possible flooding

The Hudson Valley woke up on a damp Monday morning, as rain showers fell over the area overnight. And from the forecast ahead, it looks like we’re going to see quite a bit of rain this week. A start to the Nor’easter season is expected to bring heavy rain and possible flooding from Monday evening to Tuesday. We will have a small break by the middle of the week, but more rains are expected to arrive in the area by the end of the week, according to the forecast.

Monday is expected to be mild with highs in the 60s and intermittent showers throughout the day. Precipitation is expected to become more abundant and more regular overnight. Flood monitoring will come into effect from late Monday to Tuesday afternoon as Hudson Valley Weather said we might experience 3-4 inches of rain. Some localized areas might see up to 5 inches, depending on the National Meteorological Service. The eastern Hudson Valley and Connecticut regions are expected to experience the highest precipitation totals. The rain should finally end by Tuesday evening, as the lows will fall in the 1940s and the clouds will decrease.

Wednesday is expected to be our best day of the week as highs will be near 60, with partly sunny skies and windy conditions. Our break will be brief, however, as the risk of rain returns on Thursday and Friday, with highs near 60 and lows in the mid-40s on both days. The forecast for Halloween weekend calls for more rain showers on Saturday and Sunday.

Some of the extended winter forecast so far is a bit contradictory. While some, like the Old Farmer’s Almanac, say we should expect near-normal temperatures and precipitation, other forecasts call for below-average temperatures and above-average snowfall. An important factor could be the return of La Niña. A La Niña is a phenomenon that produces colder-than-average water temperatures in the tropical Pacific Ocean around the equator. It should not be confused with El Niño, which is when the water temperatures are warmer in this part of the Pacific. Past La Niñas have produced colder and snowier winters in the northeast.

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